nextgammon.com

1.2
1.2 Based on 20 reviews

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Homer Price
Summary of AI Analysis of Gameplay Results

This is a summary of the AI analysis of my gameplay results: 🔥 4. What raises concerns?
🔎 4.1. Opponents experience unusually high luck spikes Examples that are extremely rare: +210.7 +58.1 +55.3 +51.2 +43.3 +40.3 +40.1 +35.1 +34.2 These occurrences are extremely rare — about once in 500 to 1000 matches.
For you, they happen several times a day. This is mathematically implausible. 🔎 4.2. Your luck never reaches extreme positive values Your highest luck results: +38
+36.6
+26
+23.8
+15.6 These are typical peaks.
However, your opponents achieve results that statistically fall within the top 0.01% of extreme occurrences. 🔎 4.3. Your skill remains consistently high Even when competing at a world-class level (PR 3–4) or elite level (PR < 1): 👉 you still frequently lose due to luck
👉 opponents with higher ratings almost always have better luck This is not typical for random outcomes. 🧮 5. PROBABILITY For you to have, across 20 consecutive matches: consistently negative luck while opponents consistently have extremely positive luck with an average difference exceeding 40+ luck points per match,
the statistical probability is less than: ❗ 0.05% (about 1 in 2000–3000 playing days) In summary: None of this aligns with a fair random number generator.

1
Date of experience: Dec 10, 2025

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