If you go to this platform trying to get money predicting the future, be aware that Polymarket is not about predicting the future, it is about how to play a whale's game. There are markets where resolution is easy and universal but there are also markets where a case would need to be done to prove your point, a lot of times resolution relies on a voting system settled on a different ecosystem, the UMA Protocol, basically you need to hold UMA tokens and you vote with those tokens, no matter what the truth is, whoever possess the greater amount of tokens settles the resolution of a market, it is rigged by whales. There are Polymarket whales that are UMA whales too, every time a market doesn't go their way, they abuse the system so they don't lose money. UMA oracle is prone to 51% attacks, and it has occurred more often than not caused by these whales. Polymarket wash their hands about that and refuse to punish bad faith actors on the platform. They just don't care about reliability while they brag how the platform "actually" is an indicator of the "truth" on Twitter, now X.
Can you make money here? YES, but you have to play their game, you will not make money betting against whales. Play the game and don't expect fair play, it is the only way to not get rigged, bet safe!
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